Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1920 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
ESP
2 - 1
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1920 |
NED
5 - 4
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
SWE
9 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1920 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1919 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1919 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEN
28%
24%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |