Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
30%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1918 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
38%
25%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1918 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1918 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1917 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |