Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |