Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1915 |
DEN
8 - 1
NOR
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1915 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |