Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1913 |
SWE
9 - 0
NOR
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1913 |
DEN
8 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1913 |
HUN
2 - 0
SWE
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1913 |
RUS
1 - 4
SWE
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1912 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1913 |
DEN
8 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
GBR
4 - 2
DEN
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
DEN
7 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |