Sweden vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1994 |
SWE
0 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
ROU
2 - 2
SWE
44%
27%
30%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1994 |
KSA
1 - 3
SWE
31%
28%
41%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1994 |
SWE
3 - 1
RUS
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
35%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
2 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
ARG
0 - 2
BGR
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |