Sweden vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
3 - 0
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
NIR
63%
24%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1981 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BGR
4 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BGR
1 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
POR
1 - 1
BGR
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |