Sweden vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
DEN
6 - 0
SWE
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
SWE
2 - 0
ALG
73%
20%
8%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
SWE
2 - 1
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
WAL
0 - 2
SWE
34%
29%
38%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
ALB
1 - 2
SWE
11%
22%
67%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
BRA
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1989 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
15%
26%
59%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1989 |
BRA
4 - 1
PER
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
88%
10%
3%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |