Sweden vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROU
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SWE
2 - 0
ITA
30%
29%
41%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SWE
5 - 0
CYP
91%
7%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NED
0 - 3
SWE
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
CYP
0 - 1
SWE
4%
15%
81%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1983 |
SUI
1 - 2
BRA
14%
24%
62%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
60%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
POR
0 - 4
BRA
18%
26%
56%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
11%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1982 |
ITA
3 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |