Sweden vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
HUN
3 - 3
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1973 |
SWE
3 - 2
AUT
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
SWE
7 - 0
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
NOR
1 - 3
SWE
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
37%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1973 |
GER
0 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
35%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1973 |
AUT
1 - 1
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
BRA
46%
25%
30%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
TUN
1 - 4
BRA
4%
13%
83%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |