Sweden vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1966 |
SWE
1 - 1
YUG
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1966 |
DDR
4 - 1
SWE
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 5
SWE
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1966 |
SCO
1 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 2
CSK
75%
15%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
CSK
75%
15%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
3 - 1
PER
84%
10%
5%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |