Sweden vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
6.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
30%
22%
48%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1960 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
30%
21%
49%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
SWE
4 - 1
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 3
SWE
66%
17%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
57%
19%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
BGR
4 - 1
BEL
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 1
NED
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BEL
3 - 1
SUI
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |