Sweden vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 1
POL
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1923 |
POL
2 - 2
SWE
55%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
HUN
2 - 1
SWE
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1923 |
SWE
1 - 3
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1923 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWE
54%
22%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1924 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
FRA
2 - 0
BEL
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1923 |
BEL
2 - 2
ENG
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1923 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
61%
19%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |