Sweden vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1971 |
SWE
4 - 1
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1971 |
ISR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 0
IRL
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
IRL
1 - 1
SWE
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
NOR
2 - 4
SWE
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
AUT
0 - 2
HUN
28%
25%
48%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 0
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1970 |
AUT
0 - 1
YUG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |