Sweden vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
GER
5 - 0
SWE
65%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
49%
20%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 2
SWE
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1937 |
POL
3 - 1
SWE
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
49%
20%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 1
LVA
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 1
LVA
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
AUT
4 - 3
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |