Sweden vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1933 |
LVA
1 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
5 - 2
HUN
63%
17%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1933 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
51%
22%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1932 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |