Sweden vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
2 - 1
ENG
44%
27%
30%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
1 - 1
FRA
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
SWE
2 - 1
HUN
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1992 |
SWE
5 - 0
POL
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1992 |
NED
3 - 1
GER
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 2
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1992 |
GER
1 - 0
TUR
81%
12%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |