Sweden vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1941 |
SWE
2 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEN
3 - 3
SWE
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
SWE
1 - 1
DEN
70%
15%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SWE
5 - 0
FIN
89%
7%
4%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1940 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
36%
21%
43%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
FIN
0 - 6
GER
32%
21%
47%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |