Sweden vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
5 - 4
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
4 - 2
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 4
ENG
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1922 |
NOR
0 - 5
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1922 |
GER
0 - 0
HUN
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1922 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |