Sweden vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
DEN
0 - 3
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
SWE
1 - 0
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
SWE
2 - 0
CSK
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1985 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
ISR
1 - 1
SWE
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
BRD
48%
25%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 0
BRD
22%
26%
53%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
BRD
0 - 3
ENG
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
CSK
1 - 5
BRD
30%
26%
44%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
BRD
4 - 1
BGR
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |