Sweden vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
BRA
49%
22%
30%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1965 |
SWE
2 - 2
ITA
58%
21%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
SWE
1 - 2
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
2 - 0
BRD
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1965 |
SUI
0 - 1
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1965 |
BRD
0 - 1
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
BRD
5 - 0
CYP
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
BRD
1 - 1
SWE
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |