Sweden vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
SWE
57%
24%
20%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 1
SWE
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
31%
28%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
68%
21%
11%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
76%
17%
7%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
DEN
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
6 - 1
CYP
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
GEO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
74 | 96 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
DEN
3 - 0
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | -1 |