Sweden vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
IRL
2 - 0
SWE
29%
28%
43%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
POL
0 - 1
SWE
27%
28%
45%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
SWE
2 - 0
LUX
83%
13%
4%
|
94 | 41 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
TUN
0 - 1
SWE
17%
26%
57%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 1
SWE
31%
27%
43%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1999 |
NOR
6 - 0
JAM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
JAM
1 - 1
RSA
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
JAM
3 - 0
PAR
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
TTO
2 - 0
JAM
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
2 - 4
JAM
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |