Sweden vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
SWE
4 - 2
ENG
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
GER
4 - 4
SWE
73%
17%
11%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 2
SWE
9%
20%
71%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
CHN
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 4
PRK
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
1 - 1
AUS
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
5 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 19 | 56 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 6
PRK
12%
21%
68%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
IDN
0 - 2
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |