Sweden vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
13.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.4%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.5%
1.2%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
TUR
1 - 2
SWE
27%
27%
46%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
MKD
1 - 2
SWE
10%
22%
68%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SWE
3 - 0
RSA
89%
9%
2%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
SWE
6 - 0
MDA
91%
7%
2%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 0
SVK
86%
11%
3%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
AZE
1 - 1
MKD
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
MDA
2 - 0
AZE
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
AZE
2 - 0
SVK
12%
25%
63%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
TUR
3 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
GEO
1 - 0
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |