Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 1
CGO
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 1
SDN
70%
21%
9%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
SDN
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
UGA
7%
16%
78%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
UGA
1 - 1
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 3
UGA
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
UGA
2 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |