Sudan vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 0
RSA
16%
22%
63%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
SDN
12%
19%
70%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SDN
1 - 0
GHA
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
80%
15%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
TOG
1 - 1
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ZAM
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
3 - 1
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 2
ZAM
32%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ZAM
3 - 3
ALG
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |