Sudan vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SDN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 1
BFA
42%
24%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SDN
2 - 2
ANG
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
SDN
83%
12%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 0
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CIV
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
GHA
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 0
SDN
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |