Sudan vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
1 - 1
PLE
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 2
BEN
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -3 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
MLI
1 - 0
SDN
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
2 - 2
TUN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TUN
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 2
GAM
71%
20%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |