Sudan vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 2
SDN
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
SDN
3 - 0
MUS
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 1
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 23 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
MUS
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
TUN
4 - 0
SYC
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SYC
0 - 3
TUN
10%
21%
70%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
52%
27%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |