Sudan vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
1 - 0
MTN
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
SDN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SDN
0 - 0
ETH
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 1
ANG
75%
18%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 3
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
NGA
0 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ARG
2 - 4
NGA
82%
14%
4%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |