Sudan vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1963 |
EGY
2 - 2
SDN
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1959 |
EGY
2 - 1
SDN
86%
9%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1959 |
SDN
1 - 0
ETH
60%
20%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
CHN
4 - 1
SDN
77%
13%
11%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SDN
1 - 2
EGY
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
EGY
6 - 3
NGA
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
NGA
3 - 0
LBY
61%
18%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1963 |
LBY
2 - 2
NGA
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
SEN
5 - 1
NGA
52%
20%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1963 |
NGA
4 - 0
SEN
60%
18%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |