Sudan vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
SDN
4 - 0
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
3 - 0
SDN
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SDN
3 - 2
MLI
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
SDN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
YEM
1 - 1
SDN
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
3 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
MLI
12%
22%
66%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CGO
19%
24%
58%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +1 |