Sudan vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
SDN
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 0
SDN
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2008 |
KEN
0 - 0
SDN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 4
MLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
ALG
1 - 1
MLI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MLI
2 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
GAB
1 - 0
MLI
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |