Sudan vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
EGY
3 - 1
SDN
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1967 |
SDN
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1967 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
72%
15%
14%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
EGY
2 - 0
SDN
74%
15%
12%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1965 |
SDN
4 - 2
LBY
47%
21%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1969 |
UGA
4 - 0
ETH
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
CIV
1 - 0
ETH
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
2 - 3
COD
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
3 - 1
ALG
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ETH
1 - 0
CIV
53%
21%
26%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |