Sudan vs Ethiopia analysis


49	ELO	53
0%	Tilt	-0.2%
2533º	General ELO ranking	2638º
1º	Country ELO ranking	1º
ELO win probability

59.7%

Sudan

19.6%

Draw

20.7%

Ethiopia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

59.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%

19.6%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

8.3%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

19.6%

20.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%