South Sudan vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SSD
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ERI
0 - 3
SSD
15%
21%
63%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
4 - 0
CGO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 1
SEN
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
UGA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CGO
3 - 1
UGA
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |