WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 1-5
South Sudan vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 0
SSD
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
KEN
2 - 0
SSD
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SSD
0 - 0
MOZ
36%
24%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MOZ
5 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MTN
3 - 1
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 2
MTN
67%
22%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CMR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
15%
4%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 0
NIG
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |