South Sudan vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
70.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GAM
1 - 0
SSD
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
DJI
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 4
SSD
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UZB
3 - 0
SSD
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 1
SSD
69%
20%
12%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MLI
4 - 0
CGO
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 1
TUN
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 0
EQG
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |