South Sudan vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 1
SSD
60%
20%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 2
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MTN
4 - 0
SSD
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 1
MTN
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
EQG
28%
23%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
MLI
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EQG
0 - 1
MLI
17%
23%
61%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
EQG
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
MLI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MLI
1 - 0
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |