South Africa vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
ETH
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 3
RSA
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
GHA
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 0
RSA
21%
25%
55%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
SEN
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 1
GHA
22%
27%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GHA
3 - 1
ZIM
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 0
ZIM
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ZIM
0 - 0
RSA
21%
25%
55%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SEN
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |