South Africa vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
0 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
SYC
0 - 3
RSA
10%
20%
71%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
RSA
1 - 1
AUS
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 1
NGA
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UGA
0 - 1
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
EGY
3 - 0
UGA
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
SDN
2 - 1
UGA
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UGA
0 - 1
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |