South Africa vs Esuatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
BOT
72%
20%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
RSA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 3
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Esuatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
SWZ
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
SWZ
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SWZ
2 - 2
SOM
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |