South Africa vs Eswatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 0
COD
50%
25%
24%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
NAM
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 0
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Eswatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BFA
0 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 2
TOG
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |