South Africa vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 4
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
RSA
6%
16%
78%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
71%
20%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SLE
1 - 2
MLI
17%
25%
59%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
CPV
2 - 1
SLE
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 0
CPV
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
SLE
2 - 2
GNB
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |