South Africa vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MTN
3 - 1
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 2
RSA
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
76%
19%
6%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 1
ANG
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
GAM
68%
22%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 2
SEN
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
SEN
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GAM
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
BDI
76%
18%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |