South Africa vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
RSA
0 - 2
SEN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 1
BFA
54%
27%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
CPV
62%
24%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ZIM
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 1
SDN
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
ZAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UGA
51%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |