South Africa vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21%
8.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
CGO
67%
22%
12%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CGO
0 - 2
RSA
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
34%
29%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 3
RSA
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
NZL
0 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
SDN
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SDN
1 - 0
NGA
20%
27%
54%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
SDN
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 3
RSA
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |