South Africa vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
53%
27%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
SDN
72%
20%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
GHA
2 - 0
RSA
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
MLI
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
STP
0 - 1
GHA
8%
18%
74%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SDN
4 - 0
STP
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
STP
2 - 1
MUS
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 3
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
GNB
2 - 1
STP
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |