South Africa vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
MEX
4 - 2
RSA
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
USA
4 - 0
RSA
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
MLT
0 - 1
RSA
12%
22%
67%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
88%
10%
2%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
RSA
2 - 2
TUN
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRL
45%
26%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
IRL
2 - 2
MEX
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2000 |
IRL
1 - 2
SCO
46%
28%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
IRL
0 - 1
GRC
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
IRL
3 - 2
CZE
56%
23%
20%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |